Jan 23, 2008

If you ask CNN politicial commentator, Roland Martin, he would respond with an emphatic yes. Martin wrote on CNN.com that although blacks make up 50% of the Democratic electorate in South Carolina it is "a dangerous game to play" to ignore the other 50%. He says that by examining the other 50% it will give us a better understanding of what may happen in the state on Saturday when the voters come out and vote.

Just based on the polls that he quoted in his article, it would appear that Obama has a problem reaching white voters in South Carolina. Now I will be the first to admit that I don't believe in polls because the one thing I do know is that people will lie and once they get behind that curtain it is a completely different thing. But with that being said, polls can also be very beneficial. They can give you a slight understanding of a very confusing situation (I hope you can follow that). Here are the poll numbers (ARG poll taken January 17-18) Martin quoted in his article:

Among white voters in South Carolina: Clinton receives 56 percent; Obama, 20 percent, and Edwards is polling in at 16%.

Among African Americans: Obama is receiving 73%, and Clinton is at 16 percent

Now based on these numbers it will appear that Obama has a problem reaching white voters and Clinton is losing favor with black voters. Now me personally I think the reason for Obama's slippage with white voters has more to do with John Edwards still being in the campaign then with Obama being a black man. I could be wrong, but I think it is due to the fact that John Edwards is still in the race, but you will never be able to tell that from the polls.

Martin also concludes in his article that although Obama is running a campaign that transcends race and Clinton a campaign that transcends gender, it doesn't seem to be working out that way. The same poll showed that Clinton was not poliing well with men black or white. So although I think polls lie or rather do not tell the complete story, I think it is important to pay attention to both sides of the story.


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